Trump & Jerome Powell *JUST* Said THIS about Iran WAR & TROOPS!!
Summary
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Opinions
US Interest Rate Futures (Futures, CME)
The bond market is pricing in a greater than 40% chance of a rate hike and potentially multiple hikes by year-end, which is negative for bond prices.
Crude Oil (Commodity, NYMEX / ICE)
The conflict in Iran could lead to higher fuel prices and a significant supply shock, with the potential for Iranian oil output to be drastically cut.
US10Y-US02Y (Bond Spread)
The yield curve spread is widening significantly, which bond market experts interpret as the market pricing in weaker long-term economic growth due to the war in Iran.
Topics
Jerome Powell's Economic Commentary
Geopolitical Conflict in Iran and the Middle East
US Labor Market and Jobs Data
Bond Market and Yield Curve
Inflation and Inflation Expectations
Oil Prices and Supply Shocks
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Economic Impact
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