Extreme Market Move Imminent‼️

Extreme Market Move Imminent‼️

Summary

~1.0 min read
The speaker is "holding ground" in their public account, down 9K on a day the Dow fell 300 points. Commodities (GSG) are up 30% year-to-date, indicating future rate policy. Individual stocks like RH hit new multi-year lows, while HIM stock surged nearly 57% in five days, and oil prices remain volatile around $90. The main discussion revolves around Goldman Sachs' warning of a potential "extreme move" in the stock market. Goldman suggests hedge fund positioning and unwinding macro shorts could trigger a 2-3% index gain, especially with positive news. The speaker notes this could translate to 5-15% for risk-on stocks. However, a significant market rally hinges on the top 15 S&P 500 companies. For these giants (Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta) to move higher, investors need clarity on future capital expenditure (capex). Current capex levels are seen as unsustainable, and until these companies signal more modest increases in future years, significant upside is limited. The speaker also plans to reveal new stocks for their public account in Q2.